Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.217587 0.251370 0.288487 0.332270 0.382484 0.438255 0.504878
2024-10-20 0.167016 0.211490 0.264782 0.333252 0.418809 0.522112 0.656257
2024-10-27 0.125977 0.173554 0.235277 0.321007 0.436799 0.587565 0.798606
2024-11-03 0.103523 0.154126 0.224736 0.330054 0.482739 0.695604 1.014467
2024-11-10 0.087023 0.139218 0.217120 0.341197 0.533147 0.817988 1.271830
2024-11-17 0.071420 0.122225 0.202982 0.339723 0.564418 0.917676 1.513513
2024-11-24 0.059105 0.107747 0.189751 0.336752 0.592221 1.015908 1.769099
2024-12-01 0.049725 0.096184 0.178945 0.335420 0.621902 1.121171 2.052959
2024-12-08 0.042582 0.087095 0.170599 0.336558 0.655560 1.237763 2.374553
2024-12-15 0.037576 0.080994 0.166490 0.344525 0.702627 1.384847 2.773958
2024-12-22 0.032384 0.073420 0.158083 0.342452 0.729752 1.498430 3.127333
2024-12-29 0.028997 0.068940 0.155036 0.350553 0.778274 1.660190 3.599764
2025-01-05 0.024901 0.062139 0.146054 0.344902 0.798133 1.769340 3.986732
2025-01-12 0.022237 0.058112 0.142449 0.350533 0.843613 1.939359 4.530956
2025-01-19 0.018999 0.051990 0.132888 0.340664 0.852371 2.031206 4.918259
2025-01-26 0.017434 0.049796 0.132320 0.352310 0.913755 2.250858 5.632398
2025-02-02 0.016122 0.047997 0.132400 0.365606 0.981507 2.495741 6.444763
2025-02-09 0.014343 0.044508 0.127455 0.364977 1.014024 2.661033 7.089322
2025-02-16 0.012728 0.041130 0.122159 0.362418 1.041080 2.816958 7.735021
2025-02-23 0.011381 0.038254 0.117714 0.361403 1.072173 2.987992 8.446883
2025-03-02 0.010283 0.035911 0.114355 0.362905 1.110612 3.184301 9.257064
2025-03-09 0.009521 0.034489 0.113479 0.371666 1.171554 3.450901 10.301648
2025-03-16 0.008553 0.032147 0.109315 0.369561 1.199996 3.631543 11.132313